Democracy's True Cost
About the Speaker:
Sheri Berman is Associate Professor of Political Science at Barnard College, Columbia University. Her research interests focus on issues of comparative political development, European politics and history, globalization, social theory, and history of the Left. Some of her recent publications include: "The Primacy of Politics: Social Democracy and the Ideological Dynamics of the Twentieth Century" (2006, Cambridge University Press); "Violence, Conflict, and Civil Society," Mittelweg, Spring 2006 (academic paper); "Islamism, Revolution, and Civil Society," Perspectives on Politics, 1, 2, June 2003 (academic paper). Berman received her B.A. (1987) from Yale, and M.A. (1990) and PhD. (1994) from Harvard.
About the Event:
The best way to understand how stable, well-functioning democracies develop is to analyze the political trajectories such countries have actually taken. For the most part, this means looking at Western Europe and North America. When we look carefully at these cases we see that the political backstory of most democracies is one of struggle, conflict and even violence. Problems and even failures did not mean that democracy would be impossible to achieve some day; in fact, they can in retrospect often be seen to be integral parts of the long-term processes through which non-democratic institutions, elites, and cultures were delegitimized and eventually eliminated, and their democratic successors forged. An important reason many do not seem to realize this is because of a lack of historical perspective: contemporary analysts often ignore or misread the often messy and unattractive manner in which the current crop of stable democracies actually developed. Understanding past cases better is thus a crucial step toward putting today's democratization and democracy promotion discussions into proper intellectual and historical context.
CISAC Conference Room
Democratization in Postcommunist Europe: Illiberal Regimes and the Leverage of International Actors
The European Union (EU) may be presiding over the most successful democracy promotion program ever implemented by an international actor. Among postcommunist states with a credible EU membership perspective, we can see a significant - though far from complete - convergence toward liberal democracy. This is all the more interesting since ten years ago many of these states had illiberal or authoritarian regimes. I focus in this article on the sources of political change in previously illiberal regimes before and after 'watershed elections,' especially in the Western Balkans. I argue that over time the EU's leverage strengthened the hand of liberal forces against illiberal ones by way of four mechanisms: creating a focal point for cooperation, providing incentives for adapting, using conditionality, and serving as a credible commitment for reform. Consequently, most political parties have eventually changed their agenda to make it compatible with the state's bid for EU membership. I investigate the domestic conditions that have caused these mechanisms to function only weakly in Serbia and Bosnia.
2006 FSI International Conference: A World at Risk
An invigorating day of addresses, debate, and discussion of major sources of systemic and human risk facing the global community.
7:30 AM | REGISTRATION |
8:00 - 9:00 AM | BREAKFAST AND WELCOME John W. Etchemendy, Provost, Stanford University Coit D. Blacker, Director, Freeman Spogli Institute OPENING REMARKS Warren Christopher, 63rd Secretary of State William J. Perry, 19th Secretary of Defense George P. Shultz, 60th Secretary of State |
9:15 AM - 12:00 PM | MORNING SESSION PLENARY I Understanding, Measuring, and Coping with Risk: What We Know Coit D. Blacker, Director, Freeman Spogli Institute, Chair Understanding and Measuring Risk Elisabeth Paté-Cornell The Collapse of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime? Scott D. Sagan Keeping Fissile Materials Out of Terrorist Hands Siegfried S. Hecker CONCURRENT BREAKOUT SESSIONS Food Security and the Environment Rosamond L. Naylor, Chair Pandemics, Infectious Diseases, and Bioterrorism Alan M. Garber, Chair Insurgencies, Failed States, and the Challenge of Governance Jeremy M. Weinstein, Chair |
12:30 - 2:00 PM | LUNCHEON Infectious Diseases, Avian Influenza, and Bioterrorism: Risks to the Global Community Michael T. Osterholm, Director, Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, University of Minnesota |
2:30 - 5:30 PM | AFTERNOON SESSION PLENARY II Natural, National, and International Disasters Michael A. McFaul, Deputy Director, FSI and Director, Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, Chair Terror, U.S. Ports, and Neglect of Critical Infrastructure Stephen E. Flynn Energy Shocks to the Global System David G. Victor CONCURRENT BREAKOUT SESSIONS Responding to a World at Risk: U.S. Efforts at Democracy Promotion in Russia, Iraq, and Iran Michael A. McFaul, Chair The European Union: Politics, Economics, Terrorism Amir Eshel, Chair China's Rise: Implications for the World Economy and Energy Markets Thomas C. Heller, Chair Cross Currents: Nationalism and Regionalism in Northeast Asia Daniel C. Sneider, Chair |
6:00 - 8:00 PM | COCKTAIL RECEPTION AND DINNER Cocktail Reception 6:00 - 7:00 PM Dinner 7:00 - 8:00 PM |
8:00 - 9:00 PM | A WORLD AT RISK Peter Bergen, CNN Terrorism Analyst Author of Holy War, Inc.: Inside the Secret World of Bin Laden Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University |
Frances C. Arrillaga Alumni Center
Democracy Promotion and the Presidential Elections in Belarus
Trygve Olson is a political and public affairs professional who brings nearly twenty years of experience, working on five continents, to his profession. He has served in his present capacity since January 2001, and also served as IRI's Resident Program Officer in Lithuania in 1997.
Prior to rejoining IRI in 2001, Mr. Olson was a founding partner in the grassroots lobbying, political consulting and public affairs firm Public Issue Management, LLP. While a partner at Public Issue Management, Trygve managed a number of high profile grassroots lobbying campaigns for clients in the aviation, technology, and healthcare sectors. For two years he co-managed the grassroots side of a national campaign on behalf of several of America's largest technology companies and the Computer and Communications Industry Association. Also during this prior Mr. Olson served as the primary campaign consultant to a coalition that was victorious in the 2000 Lithuanian Parliamentary elections.
A native of Wisconsin, Trygve worked in the Administration of then-Governor Tommy Thompson and also ran a number of Congressional, State Senatorial and State Legislative campaigns during the early and mid 1990's. Over the course of his career in politics, Mr. Olson has worked on in excess of 100 campaigns for all levels of public office from the local to national level. Since first volunteering for IRI in 1995 -- when he went to Poland to run a get out the vote campaign for young people -- Mr. Olson has helped advise political parties and candidates in numerous countries throughout the world including nearly all of Central and Eastern Europe, Indonesia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Nigeria, Venezuela, and Serbia.
Trygve is a graduate of the University of Wisconsin. He currently makes his home in Vilnius, Lithuania with his wife, Erika Veberyte, who serves as the Chief Foreign Policy Advisor to the Speaker of the Lithuanian Parliament.
Encina Basement Conference Room