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CDDRL seminar with Maria Snegovaya - When Left Moves Right: The Decline of the Left and the Rise of the Populist Right

Over the past two decades, postcommunist countries have witnessed a sudden shift in the electoral fortunes of their political parties: previously successful center-left parties suffered dramatic electoral defeats and disappeared from the political scene, while right-wing populist parties soared in popularity and came to power. This dynamic echoed similar processes in Western Europe and raises a question: Were these dynamics in any way connected? This book argues that they were. And that the root of the connection between them lies in the pro-market rebranding of the ex-communist left—the key explanatory variable. This book argues that, though the left’s pro-market shift initially led to electoral rewards, it had a less straightforward impact on left-wing parties’ electoral fortunes in the long run. Traditional supporters of the left (working-class and economically vulnerable groups) were alienated by the new economic policies, and the middle-class voters newly drawn to these parties did not compensate for those losses. As a result, for several electoral rounds following the rebranding, reformist parties on the left suffered dramatic electoral defeats. In response, right-wing parties in their respective countries adopted more redistributive economic platforms consistent with preferences of former supporters of the left, and incorporated sizeable shares of these electorates. This contributed to the growth of right-wing populist parties in the countries with a pro-market left.

The book traces this process in postcommunist Europe on different levels of analysis: cross-country observational data, case studies, and individual-level experimental surveys. It argues that scholars should incorporate the economic policy dimension when explaining the demise of the left and the rise of the populist right in the region. It also examines important parallels between the dynamics of Western and postcommunist countries by arguing that the idiosyncrasy of Eastern European politics has been overstated in scholarly literature. It also offers policy recommendations about ways for the centrist parties to curtail the rise of populism.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Maria Snegovaya (PhD, Columbia University) is a Senior Fellow with the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and an Adjunct Professor at  Georgetown University's Walsh School of Foreign Service. The key focus of her research is democratic backsliding and re-autocratization in postcommunist Europe, as well as Russia's domestic and foreign policy. Her research results and analysis have appeared in policy and peer-reviewed journals, including West European Politics, Party Politics, Journal of Democracy, Post-Soviet Affairs, and the Washington Post‘s political science blog, the Monkey Cage. Her first book, When Left Moves Right: The Decline of the Left and the Rise of the Populist Right, was published by Oxford University Press in January 2024. Her other manuscript, “Russia’s Foreign Policy and Nomenklatura Continuity in Ruling Circles,” is under contract with Oxford University Press.

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to Encina E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

Hesham Sallam
Hesham Sallam

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

Maria Snegovaya
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CDDRL seminar with Klaus Desmet - Polarization in the U.S.

There is growing concern over rising social divisions in the U.S. We develop a new method to endogenously partition society into groups based on homophily in values. The between-group differentiation that results from this partition provides a novel measure of latent polarization in society. For the last forty years, the degree of latent polarization of the U.S. public has been high and relatively stable. In contrast, the degree of partisan polarization between voters of the two main political parties steadily increased since the 1990s and is now converging toward that of underlying values-based clusters. Growing partisan polarization in the U.S. is a reflection of partisan views becoming increasingly aligned with the main values-based clusters in society.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Klaus Desmet is the Altshuler Professor of Cities, Regions and Globalization at Southern Methodist University, Research Fellow at CEPR, and Research Associate at NBER. He holds an MSc in Business and Engineering from the Université catholique de Louvain and a PhD in Economics from Stanford University. Before moving to SMU, he was Professor at Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. His research focuses on regional economics, climate change, and political economy. His work has appeared in journals such as the American Economic Review, the Journal of Political Economy, the Journal of Economic Theory, and the Journal of Development Economics. In 2019, he was the recipient of the Robert E. Lucas Jr. Prize, and in 2010, he was awarded the August Lösch Prize.

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to Encina E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

Hesham Sallam
Hesham Sallam

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

Klaus Desmet
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CDDRL seminar with Marc Lynch - America and the Middle East Warscape

The Middle East is often understood as a violent, unstable, conflict-ridden region in which the United States sometimes intervenes — or fails to intervene — to provide security and order. This talk presents an alternative understanding of the Middle East as a transnationalized warscape characterized by perpetual (though not constant) war in which the US has long been an integral structural component. This approach, I argue, better explains the patterns of state failures, recurrent conflict, and authoritarian rule across the region, as well as the seeming failures of US foreign policy. 

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Marc Lynch is Professor of Political Science at The George Washington University and the Director of the Project on Middle East Political Science. He is the author of The Arab Uprisings and The New Arab Wars, and co-editor of Making Sense of the Arab State.

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to Encina E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

Hesham Sallam
Hesham Sallam

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

Marc Lynch
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CDDRL seminar with James Fearon - A Theory of Elite-initiated Democratization, Illustrated With the Case of Myanmar

Around half of democratic transitions are "top-down" in the sense that the autocrats write the constitution that governs post-transition democracy (Albertus and Menaldo 2015). We analyze a model of elite-driven democratization, illustrating its logic and implications in the case of Myanmar.  In the model, continued dictatorship is costly and inefficient due to the risk of a violent rebellion and, possibly, the increase in aid, trade, and geopolitical support that would follow democratization. But the autocrats fear that fair elections would lead quickly to their marginalization. We argue, contrary to a common suggestion, that paper constitutions that provide veto points for the old elite are not by themselves sufficient protection. Top-down "democratic transitions" are really cases of power-sharing, in which the old elite retains de facto control of rent streams that the opposition cannot unilaterally seize simply by changing laws. As the military's coup threat declines over time, democracy may eventually "consolidate."  If the coup threat declines dramatically and is anticipated to do so, a reversion back to autocracy is possible. We also show how the prospect of increased international aid, trade, and investment makes top-down transitions more likely, though only when post-transition power-sharing is feasible.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

James D. Fearon is Geballe Professor in the School of Humanities and Sciences, and Professor of Political Science at Stanford University, and a Senior Fellow at Stanford’s Freeman-Spogli Institute for International Studies. His research has focused on civil and interstate war. He has also published on international relations theory, democratization, foreign aid and institution building, and post-conflict reconstruction. Fearon is an elected member of the National Academy of Sciences (2012) and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences (2002), and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. From 2007 to 2010, he was Chair of the Department of Political Science at Stanford. He served as a Senior Adviser in the U.S. Department of Defense in 2021 and 2022, where he worked primarily with the production and implementation team for the 2022 National Defense Strategy.

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to Encina E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

Hesham Sallam
Hesham Sallam

Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to E008 in Encina Hall may attend in person.

CISAC
Stanford University
Encina Hall
Stanford, CA 94305-6165

(650) 725-1314
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Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Theodore and Frances Geballe Professor in the School of Humanities and Sciences
Professor of Political Science
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PhD

James Fearon is the Theodore and Frances Geballe Professor in the School of Humanities and Sciences and a professor of political science. He is a Senior Fellow at FSI, affiliated with CISAC and CDDRL. His research interests include civil and interstate war, ethnic conflict, the international spread of democracy and the evaluation of foreign aid projects promoting improved governance. Fearon was elected to the National Academy of Sciences in 2012 and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 2002. Some of his current research projects include work on the costs of collective and interpersonal violence, democratization and conflict in Myanmar, nuclear weapons and U.S. foreign policy, and the long-run persistence of armed conflict.

Affiliated faculty at the Center for International Security and Cooperation
Affiliated faculty at the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law
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James D. Fearon
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Gender Inequity and Economic Impact

India is experiencing profound demographic changes and consequent shifts in the population age structure, though, unlike the experience of other countries, its demographic change is unique and unconventional. While declining fertility rates are often seen as a boost to women's empowerment, there are growing concerns about their impact on gender equity in India, including worsening sex ratios. One notable effect of this demographic shift is the rapid increase in the older population, particularly widows, who face heightened vulnerability shaped by cultural norms. This talk explores two key aspects of India's demographic changes: first, how fertility shifts have affected gender equity, and second, by estimating the economic value of widows, why we must move beyond cultural explanations to understand the vulnerability of widows in India.

KS James 100324

K S James possesses extensive research and teaching experience in the field of Demography. He was formerly the Director and Senior Professor of the International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS), Mumbai, India. His work examines the interaction of socio-economic and policy forces on demographic factors, including fertility, marriage, gender and ageing in India.  He has several books and articles in his credit including papers in Science, Lancet Global Health, BMC Public Health, Social Science and Medicine, JAMA Network Open, Population Studies and Journal of Demographic Economics. He holds a postdoctoral training from Harvard Centre for Population and Development, Harvard University, USA and Ph.D from Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. He has been a visiting fellow in many prestigious institutes and universities including Harvard University, USA; London School of Economics, UK; International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA), Austria; University of Southampton, UK and University of Groningen, The Netherlands.

Lunch will be served.

K S James, Senior Visiting Scholar Newcomb Institute, Tulane University
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Advancing Healthcare event by AHPP

Co-sponsored by Peking University's Institute for Global Health and Development and the Asia Health Policy Program

(Friday, September 13, 2024, 9:00am to 10:30am - Beijing time)

In this seminar, distinguished speakers will share their insights on the intersection of cutting-edge technology and healthcare policy. The event will feature short presentations followed by an in-depth discussion, exploring what it takes to bring innovative healthcare solutions from concept to implementation.

Representing different facets of the healthcare ecosystem, the presenters will address key topics such as the application and economic impact of surgical robotics, the delicate balance between pharmaceutical regulation and innovation, technology for population health and chronic disease control, and the development of digital solutions for aging populations.

This seminar offers a unique opportunity for attendees to gain valuable insights into the latest trends in healthcare technology and policy, and to engage in meaningful dialogue about shaping a healthier, more efficient future for all.

Xiaoyanlei 091224

Dr. Lei Xiaoyan is the MOE Cheung-Kong Scholar Professor of Economics, and PKU Boya Distinguished Professor. She is currently the chair of the Academic Committee of the National School of Development, the director of the PKU Center for Healthy Aging and Development Studies, and deputy director of the MOE-PKU Center for Human Capital and National Policy Research, co-editor of the Journal of Economics of Aging, and a research fellow of IZA. Her research spans the areas of labor economics, health economics, and economics of aging. Her research has been published in Review of Economics and Statistics, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, among others. Since 2020, she has consecutively been included on Elsevier’s List of Highly-cited Scholars in China. She received a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California, Los Angeles in 2007.

Min Yu 091224

Professor Min Yu graduated from the Department of Clinical Medicine at Zhejiang Medical University with a Bachelor of Medicine degree in 1988 and a Master's degree in Public Health from Beijing Medical University in 1998.

Professor Yu focuses on the prevention and control of chronic diseases and injuries. He has served as the chief editor or co-editor of five monographs and has published over 20 peer-reviewed papers. He has led one project under the National Key R&D Program’s “Precision Medicine Initiative” and three provincial or ministry-level projects. Professor Yu has received the third prize of the Science and Technology Award from the Chinese Preventive Medicine Association, the third prize of the Provincial Science and Technology Advancement Award, and the second prize of Provincial Medical and Health Science and Technology.

Beinilyu 091224

Dr. Beini Lyu's research interests are pharmacoepidemiology, clinical epidemiology of chronic diseases, real-world studies, and health technology assessment. Dr. Lyu’s work has been published in top medical journals such as the Lancet Regional Health-Americas, Diabetes Care, and the American Journal of Kidney Diseases. She served as PI of a research grant from the American Society of Diagnostic and Interventional Nephrology (ASDIN). She has received the Donn D 'Alessio Outstanding Student Award from the Department of Population Health at the University of Wisconsin, the American Heart Association Student Research Fellowship in Cardiovascular Disease, and the Chinese Government Award for Outstanding Self-Financed Student Abroad. Dr. Lyu received her M.D. from Peking University and her Ph.D. in epidemiology from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Jianan Yang 091224

Dr. Jianan Yang's primary research fields are health economics and development economics, with specific interests in health policy reform, health behavior and healthcare demand, and pharmaceutical innovation. Her research papers have been published in leading international journals in development economics, such as the Journal of Development Economics. She has also served as an anonymous reviewer for renowned academic journals including the Journal of Public Economics, the Journal of Development Economics, and the Journal of Health Economics, among others. She earned her bachelor’s degrees in Economics and Mathematics from Renmin University of China in 2016, and her Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California, San Diego in 2022. Before joining Peking University, she was a postdoctoral fellow in the Asian Health Policy Program at Stanford University.

Yuhang Pan 091224

Dr. Yuhang Pan's research fields include environmental economics, health economics, and development economics, with a focus on using a causal inference approach to study the impact of environmental pollution, public policy, and climate change on health and social welfare. His works have been published in economics and scientific journals, such as Science, Nature Sustainability, and the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. Dr. Pan obtained his undergraduate degree from Beijing Normal University in 2015 and his doctoral degree from the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology in 2021. Prior to joining Peking University, he worked as a postdoctoral researcher at the Faculty of Business and Economics at the University of Hong Kong.

Yuhang Pan, Assistant Professor of Economics, Peking University Institute for Global Health and Development

Online via Zoom Webinar

Xiaoyan Lei, Professor of Economics, Peking University National School of Development and Institute for Global Health and Development
Min Yu, Deputy Director, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, and Standing Committee Member of Injury Epidemiology Branch of the Chinese Preventive Medical Association
Beini Lyu, Assistant Professor, Peking University Institute for Global Health and Development
Jianan Yang, Assistant Professor, Peking University Institute for Global Health and Development
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Andrew Goodman-Bacon

Health Economics Seminar with Andrew Goodman-Bacon 

Andrew Goodman-Bacon is an economist at the Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. His research is in economic history, health economics, public economics, and applied econometrics.

Encina Commons, Room 119
Department of Health Policy/Center for Health Policy   
615 Crothers Way, Stanford

Lunch will be provided

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Steve Raphael

Health Economics Seminar with Steve Raphael 

Steve Raphael is a Professor of Public Policy at UC Berkeley and holds the James D. Marver Chair at the Goldman School of Public Policy. His research focuses on the economics of low-wage labor markets, housing, and the economics of crime and corrections.  His most recent research focuses on the social consequences of the large increases in U.S. incarceration rates and racial disparities in criminal justice outcomes.  Raphael also works on immigration policy, research questions pertaining to various aspects of racial inequality, the economics of labor unions, social insurance policies, homelessness, and low-income housing.  

Encina Commons, Room 119
Department of Health Policy/Center for Health Policy   
615 Crothers Way, Stanford

Lunch will be provided

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Amanda Kowalski

Health Economics Seminar with Amanda Kowalski

Amanda Kowalski, the Gail Wilensky Professor of Applied Economics and Public Policy at the University of Michigan Department of Economics, is a health economist who specializes in bringing together experiments, models grounded in context-specific knowledge, and econometric techniques to answer questions that inform current debates in health policy.

Professor Kowalski’s recent research analyzes experiments and clinical trials with the goal of designing policies to target insurance expansions and medical treatments to individuals who will benefit from them most. Her previous research has explored impacts of health insurance through Medicaid expansions, the Affordable Care Act, the Massachusetts health reform of 2006, and employer-sponsored plans.  She has also examined impacts of health spending on at-risk newborns.

Encina Commons, Room 119
Department of Health Policy/Center for Health Policy   
615 Crothers Way, Stanford

Lunch will be provided

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Anna Aizer

Health Economics Seminar with Anna Aizer 

Anna Aizer received her degree in Economics from UCLA in 2003 and came to Brown in 2004 after a postdoctoral fellowship at Princeton University's Center for Research on Child Wellbeing. She is a labor and health economist with interests in the area of child health and well-being. Her current work considers the mechanisms behind the intergenerational transmission of poverty.  In particular, she focuses on the roles played by health insurance and access to medical care,  domestic violence, exposure to environmental toxins, the role of stress, and poor children's greater interaction with the juvenile justice system in explaining why the children of poor mothers are more likely to grow up to be poor themselves. 

Encina Commons, Room 119
Department of Health Policy/Center for Health Policy   
615 Crothers Way, Stanford

Lunch will be provided

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