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At age 94, with an extensive collection of health policy research and publications under his belt, Victor Fuchs has a lot to say about the health care system.

The high cost. The uninsured. The fragmentation.

During a speech at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), the pioneering health economist narrowed his gaze to whether a single-payer system is the fix to those problems.

The answer is complicated, and it depends on the questions behind the question, said Fuchs, a SIEPR Senior Fellow and the Henry J. Kaiser, Jr., Professor of Economics and Health Research and Policy, emeritus. He is also a senior fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and a core faculty member at Stanford Health Policy.

Recent challenges to the Affordable Care Act have rekindled a debate over the merits of a single-payer health care system — where one entity, namely the federal government, would foot the bill for essential services for all — and Fuchs spoke at SIEPR to succinctly explain what a single-payer system could achieve, what would probably never happen, and why.

The problem, Fuchs pointed out, is that the United States spends the most of any high-income country on health care, yet Americans are not achieving better health outcomes. Part of the solution would have to address the nation’s higher administrative costs, higher prices for prescription drugs, and the expensive increasing mix of services and specialists.

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Fuchs contended a single-payer system would lower costs. For one, it would create the bargaining power needed to offset the monopolistic powers of those providing the drugs, medical services and equipment.

To control costs, “we must move to something like a single-payer plan, but that alone will not be sufficient,” Fuchs said. “It will depend on what kind of single-payer plan it is.”

Even as it provides for universal health care insurance coverage, a single-payer system could take on various forms, including a blend of private and public controls.

And to have any chance at success, Fuchs said, the single-payer system would have to be simple, require minimum bureaucracy, and provide choice.

Then comes the rub, of course: The political will has historically tread against single-payer.

Americans are not willing to provide subsidies for those too poor to afford health insurance; neither do they have a compulsion for everyone to acquire coverage and contribute to those subsidies.

“The country as a whole has not been willing to fully embrace these two principles,” he said. “And I feel you need to have a strong majority of both if you’re going to have universal coverage.”

And unfortunately, Fuchs added, he does not believe universal health coverage would necessarily improve health outcomes. Many other socio-economic and environmental factors also play a role there.

In leading a brief discussion with Fuchs, Mark Cullen, a SIEPR Senior Fellow and professor of medicine, asked what makes him think the federal government would work to control costs under a single-payer system — when it has thus far chosen to exert little buying power under the current structure.

“I have not discussed the political feasibility of this, deliberately,” Fuchs quipped.

You can learn more about Fuchs’ viewpoint in The Journal of the American Medical Association.

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Beth Duff-Brown
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As global health assistance for developing countries dwindles, a Stanford student working on her PhD in health policy has developed a novel formula to help donors make more informed decisions about where their dollars should go.

Donors have typically relied predominately on gross national income (GNI) per capita to determine aid allocations. But using GNI is problematic because it effectively penalizes economic growth. It also fails to capture contextual nuances important to channeling aid effectively and efficiently.

So Tara Templin, a first-year Stanford PhD student specializing in health economics, and her Harvard colleague Annie Haakenstad, have developed a framework that estimates funding based on needed resources, expected spending and potential spending into 2030. They believe the more flexible model makes it adaptable for use by governments, donors and policymakers.

“We've observed development assistance for health growth attenuate over the last seven years,” said Templin, who was a research fellow at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation before coming to Stanford. “There are difficult trade-offs, and this entails honing in on the specific challenges and countries most in need.”

Their research published in the journal Health Policy and Planning outlines how their “financing gaps framework” can be adapted to short- or long-run time frames, between or within countries.

“Depending on donor preferences, the framework can be deployed to incentivize local investments in health, ensuring the long-term sustainability of health systems in low- and middle-income countries, while also furnishing international support for progress toward global health goals,” write the authors, who also are Stephen Lim of the University of Washington, Jesse B. Bump of Harvard and Joseph Dieleman, also at the University of Washington.

The authors developed a case study of child health to test out their framework. It shows that priorities vary substantially when using their results as compared to focusing mainly on GNI per capita or child mortality.

The case study uses data from the Global Burden of Disease 2013 Study, Financing Global Health 2015, the WHO Global Health Observatory and National Health Accounts. Funding flows are anchored to progress toward the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals’ target for reductions in the death rates of children under 5. More than six million children die each year before their fifth birthday, so the United Nations set a goal to reduce under-5 mortality to at least 25 per 1,000 live births.

To build their child health case study, the authors relied on a 2015 study that estimated the average cost per child-life saved is $4,205 in low-income countries, $6,496 in lower-middle income countries and $10,016 in upper-middle countries.

The framework considers three concepts. First, expected government spending is constructed from national health accounts, which are standardized financial reports from countries around the world. Second, ability to pay is estimated by looking at countries with similar levels of economic development and looking at associations with country investment in the health sector. Lastly, needed investment considers a health target, the country’s current health burden, and average costs to save children’s lives in each country.

“Our focus is on the gap between the resources needed to reach critical health targets and domestic health spending,” the authors wrote. “We highlight two facets of domestic health resources—expected spending and potential spending—as critical. While donor preferences may vary, basing aid allocation on expected or existing spending levels incentivizes countries to spend less on health. We therefore propose the use of potential spending, which is a measure of a country’s ability to pay, as the domestic resource benchmark.”

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Instead of the gap between expected spending and need, their framework focuses on the gap between potential spending and the health resources needed to meet global health targets. In the framework, policymakers can choose which gap they want to target, since this decision can involve many factors.

“By focusing on that gap, donors can catalyze sustained domestic spending while also addressing the resource needs critical to reaching international health goals,” they wrote.

They then looked at 10 countries with the most need for additional child health resources. The gap between expected spending and potential spending was highest in Afghanistan, at 79 percent, and lowest in Cameroon, where expected spending exceeded potential spending.

“Fifty years ago, GNI was the best proxy for countries’ ability to finance their own development and health,” the authors wrote.

But today, more empirical data and technology are available, allowing donors to incorporate a broader set of health financing measures into their decision-making process.

“The flexible but targeted nature of our framework is critical in the current era of global health financing,” said Haakenstad, the lead author. “Our framework helps to ensure the poor and disadvantaged, the majority of which now reside in middle-income countries, are reached by development assistance and other public financing. This funding is critical to reducing death and disability and reaching global targets in health.”

 

The authors’ research was supported by the Welcome Trust (099114/Z/12/Z).

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In April 2016 the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) sued Mission Hospital, a large North Carolina health system, after it denied employee requests for religious exemptions from an influenza-vaccination requirement. The lawsuit, which alleges that the hospital violated Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, is one of a trio of lawsuits in the past two years in which the EEOC has intervened to challenge vaccination mandates for health-care workers. Facing a full-blown trial in February, the hospital agreed to settle the case on January 12, compensating the employees and revising its vaccination mandate policy.

Michelle Mello, PhD, JD, a professor of health research and policy and professor of law, and her colleague James A. Sonne, JD, an associate professor of law and director of Stanford Law School’s Religious Liberty Clinic, write in this week’s New England Journal of Medicine that the EEOC litigation “is cause for unease” among the growing number of hospitals with mandatory influenza-vaccination policies. Their article is co-authored with Douglas J. Opel, MD, MPH, an assistant professor of pediatrics at the University of Washington.

“These policies are an important public-health strategy since vaccination rates for health-care workers continue to fall short of the Healthy People 2020 target of 90 percent,” the authors write. “But they create thorny problems when it comes to exemptions. In particular, when and how must health-care workers’ religious objections be accommodated to conform to the law?”

The paper comes during what could be the worst flu season since the 2009 swine flu pandemic. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reports that this influenza season has claimed the lives of 37 children and is on track to rival the 2014-2015 flu season. The CDC estimates that 34 million Americans got the flu that season; more than 700,000 were hospitalized and about 56,000 people died.

So far this season, an influenza A virus called H3N2 has been the most common form of influenza. Preliminary estimates suggest that this season’s influenza vaccine is about 40 percent effective. Yet antibodies made in response to vaccination with a certain set of influenza viruses can sometimes provide protection against different but related viruses.

Stanford Health Policy asked Mello and Sonne questions about their research and findings.

Q: What prompted you to undertake this research and write about the subject?                                   

Mello: More and more hospitals are mandating their employees get vaccinated against influenza. This is good policy: influenza is a serious disease and voluntary programs have had disappointing results. Having a policy that requires health-care workers to be vaccinated helps protect employees themselves but also the patients they take care of, who are often at high risk of serious complications from influenza. We wrote this article to help make hospitals aware of potential legal challenges based on religious discrimination claims and help them ensure their own mandates are well-written and reasonably applied in order to avoid legal challenge and maintain a healthy and productive workplace. 

Q: Did anything surprise you while conducting your research?

Mello: Yes. First, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission filed the three latest lawsuits on behalf of the employee. That’s unusual; the EEOC typically only injects itself into an individual employee’s dispute when it perceives that the employee’s case presents an issue of public concern.

Second, there have been about 15 cases filed between 2011 and 2016 that have challenged hospital influenza vaccination mandates on religious grounds, and most of them didn’t get thrown out by the judge—they were settled, or are heading toward trial. This indicates a need to understand the claims made by these lawsuits so that hospitals can avoid future legal challenges. When we looked at the plaintiffs’ grievances, we saw some pitfalls that can be easily avoided if hospitals are attentive to what the law requires and what seems to provoke employees to sue. For example, some hospitals were unduly rigid, to the point of seeming arbitrary, in enforcing deadlines or reviewing exemption requests.

Q: Is it common for hospitals to have influenza vaccination requirements for their employees?

Mello: Many hospitals do, and some states require it. Evidence suggests that these requirements are effective at increasing vaccination rates of their employees. However, hospitals’ requirements vary, with some allowing their employees to opt out of getting the influenza vaccine for religious reasons and others only allowing opt-outs if the employee has a medical contraindication to influenza vaccination, such as having experienced a severe allergic reaction to a prior dose of the vaccine or having an allergy to a component of the vaccine.

Q: Why allow religious exemptions to employer vaccination requirements at all?

Sonne: One reason might simply be to defuse perceptions of coercion and enhance the sustainability and acceptability of the requirements. In addition, Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 requires employers to reasonably accommodate employees’ religious practices unless doing so presents an undue hardship for the employer. Carefully crafted religious exemptions to influenza-vaccination requirements are a strategy that employers might need to use to avert religious-discrimination claims.

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A small proportion of workers may want to serve in the health-care field but nonetheless feel very strongly about not receiving the vaccine as a matter of their religious faith. Depending on the context, accommodating those sincere beliefs doesn’t necessarily impact public health and, arguably, it’s a better use of hospitals’ time and resources to focus on getting the vaccine to the vast majority of unvaccinated workers who don’t object but just haven’t gotten around to being vaccinated. Again, we’re not talking about a large group of people who both work in the industry and have these religious conflicts.

 

Q: A new civil rights division at the Department of Health and Human Services aims to protect health-care workers who refuse to provide services that violate their religious beliefs. Will there be more support now for health-care workers wanting to opt out from influenza vaccine for religious reasons?

Sonne: This is a good question, but the answer is unclear so far. The “Conscience and Religious Freedom Division” will be part of HHS’s already-established Office of Civil Rights. It will be charged with enforcing laws in the health-care field that forbid religious discrimination or require accommodation of religion—which certainly expresses an enforcement priority in this area of law. That said, the division doesn’t appear to create any additional legal duties but is meant only to enforce existing laws. And its creation also appears to have been motivated more by concerns about having to provide services that some clinicians find morally objectionable, like abortion, which arguably is a different situation. We’ll see.

Q: Are health-care organizations struggling to get their employees vaccinated against influenza?

Mello: HHS’s Healthy People 2020 goal is to have 90 percent or more of health-care personnel vaccinated against influenza. Recent estimates show that only about 78 percent of health-care personnel got vaccinated during the flu 2016-17 season, so we are falling short of that goal. The CDC recommends that all health-care personnel receive an annual influenza vaccination.

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Michelle Mello
Q: Why do some health-care personnel choose not to get vaccinated against influenza?

Mello: Studies have shown that some of the primary deterrents to immunization are concerns related to the safety and efficacy of the influenza vaccine, despite the fact that each year the vaccine undergoes a review by FDA to assure its safety and potency before it is approved for immunization of the public.  Health-care workers also may underestimate their risk of getting the flu or the risk they pose to their patients if they get sick—or they may simply be busy enough that they don’t prioritize getting vaccinated.

The fact is that healthy adults can pass the influenza virus to someone else one day before symptoms begin, and they can continue to infect others up to five days after getting sick. Therefore, it is possible for a healthy adult to unknowingly spread the virus to patients at high risk for serious complications from influenza.

Q: What did you find in your analysis of the lawsuits?

Mello: We found some clarity regarding the type of belief that qualifies for a religious exemption under Title VII. One court that dismissed a lawsuit, for example, stated that a religious belief can't simply be a personal moral code or something specific to vaccines. Rather, it must relate to ultimate questions about life, purpose and death. Providing a religious belief definition in hospital policy and explaining what does and doesn’t qualify should help reduced misguided requests and lawsuits.

Sonne: We also found that employers can satisfy their legal obligation to reasonably accommodate workers’ religious beliefs in a variety of ways aside from granting exemptions from vaccination, but should try to find the least onerous option that still protects patients. Tailoring accommodations to the specific individual based on, for example, how much contact they have with patients is good policy.

Finally, we found that, as in so many other litigation contexts, lawsuits in this area are often inspired by a feeling by the affected employees that the processes used to weigh their opt-out requests just weren’t fair. Hospitals can, therefore, avert problems by affording employees a reasonable opportunity to explain their deeply held religious beliefs, avoiding unnecessary or overly rigid administrative procedures and rules, explaining their reasons for denying exemptions and treating religious objectors with respect.

 

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Improving the quality of primary care may reduce avoidable hospital admissions. Avoidable admissions for conditions such as diabetes are used as a quality metric in the Health Care Quality Indicators of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Using the OECD indicators, we compared avoidable admission rates and spending for diabetes-related complications in Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, and rural and peri-urban Beijing, China, in the period 2008–14. We found that spending on diabetes-related avoidable hospital admissions was substantial and increased from 2006 to 2014. Annual medical expenditures for people with an avoidable admission were six to twenty times those for people without an avoidable admission. In all of our study sites, when we controlled for severity, we found that people with more outpatient visits in a given year were less likely to experience an avoidable admission in the following year, which implies that primary care management of diabetes has the potential to improve quality and achieve cost savings. Effective policies to reduce avoidable admissions merit investigation.

 

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Karen Eggleston
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The high cost of prescription drugs in the United States came under scrutiny in a new report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, “Making Medicines Affordable: A National Imperative,” co-authored by Stanford Law Professor Michelle Mello, who is also a professor of health policy and a core faculty member at Stanford Health Policy. Published on November 30, the report aims to increase both affordability and accessibility to crucial—often lifesaving—drugs for Americans, with recommendations such as better government negotiated prices, quicker turnaround for generic drugs, and increased financial transparency for biopharmaceutical companies.

In the discussion that follows, Mello explains some of the key challenges facing Americans in need of prescription drugs and key recommendations in the report.

You note in the report that Americans are paying significantly more for their healthcare but are significantly less healthy when compared to developed countries. Do we also pay more for prescription drugs?

Yes. In fact, many countries use “reference pricing” schemes, through which the price that their national health programs pay for prescription drugs is actually calculated as a percentage of what we pay!  One of the ethical issues that weighed on the Committee as we deliberated was that interventions that tamp down prices in the U.S. could have ripple effects in other, less wealthy countries if drug makers seek to recoup their losses by giving fewer price concessions elsewhere.

What is the most important factor leading to higher prescription drug costs in the U.S.? 

The old adage that “every system is perfectly designed to get the result it gets” really came to mind as we investigated why drugs cost so much.  It’s not just one factor, but a whole ecosystem in which multiple actors and factors are contributing.  At the root of it, though, is that there are distortions in the market for drugs that permit things to happen that wouldn’t occur in a truly competitive market.

Which of the 27 action points recommended in the report stand out to you as a priority—and achievable? 

We view our recommendations as a package that should be implemented together, but there are three that we think are especially promising. First, the federal government should directly negotiate drug prices on behalf of all federal programs (and any state programs that want to join in). To create leverage in these negotiations, federal programs should have the flexibility to exclude certain drugs, such as when less costly drugs provide similar clinical benefit.  Second, to improve transparency about where the money is going and where opportunities exist to recapture some of it, biopharmaceutical companies and insurance plans should make public information about the net prices they receive and pay for drugs, including discounts and rebates. Third, insurance plans—especially Medicare plans— should provide better protection against out-of-pocket drug costs. There should be limits on total out-of-pocket costs, and patients’ deductibles and coinsurance payments should be based on the net price of the drug, not the list price.

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A number of the recommendations seem quite procedural, such as eliminating misapplication of funds and inefficiencies in federal discount programs, ensuring financial incentives are not extended to widely sold drugs, and increasing information sharing about reimbursement incentives. Is part of the high cost we pay due to bureaucracy and inefficiency?  

We identified ways in which federal programs are being misused, to the detriment of consumers. One example is what is known as the “340B program,” which was intended to ensure that hospitals and other facilities that serve low-income populations receive deep discounts on drug prices, but is being used by a broad range of facilities that don’t necessarily pass those savings on to patients. Another example is the orphan drug program, which provides very valuable financial incentives for manufacturers to develop drugs for rare diseases.  Companies have obtained these rewards even when they also sell their drug for other indications for which there is a huge market, and in some cases have gotten the rewards multiple times for the same drug.  These problems aren’t about bureaucracy, they’re about gaming the system.  These programs were good ideas that have been very successful in achieving their goals, but have had unintended effects that need to be addressed.

Biopharmaceutical companies have gotten a bad rap in the press, but you note that the cost of developing drugs is very high, and success rates low, with 9 out of 10 investigational products never making it to market. So there is an acknowledgment of the high stakes, high-cost nature of the sector. The report recommends accelerating market entry and use of generic and biosimilar drugs. How can this be implemented without discouraging development of new drugs?

Ensuring affordability of drugs while not discouraging innovation is the central tension that our committee had to grapple with. It’s not easy.  The recommendations in the report strike a balance between these two important objectives.  With regard to generics, our patent system creates a workable deal with drug innovators: create a useful new product, and we’ll give you a period of market exclusivity; generics can’t enter until after that period is up. One problem that our report addresses, though, is that companies have developed ways to extend that period of exclusivity. One is to pay generic companies to delay market entry. Another is to seek follow-on patents on incremental changes to their drug. For example, one company got a new patent by demonstrating their drug could be administered by crushing it up and mixing it with applesauce. The use of this tactic, called “evergreening”, should be curbed.

One recommendation in the report is that the federal government consolidate and apply its purchasing power to directly negotiate prices with the producers and suppliers of medicine, and strengthen formulary design and management. Do government-sponsored medical plans, such as Medicaid and Medicare, already do this? 

By law, the federal agency that runs these programs isn’t allowed to negotiate directly for drug prices for Medicare patients. Instead, all the individual, private plans that provide drug coverage under Medicare Part D do the negotiating. They get discounts, but we think the discounts would be deeper if the bargaining was consolidated in one mighty purchaser.

You noted that private investment is increasingly important to drug development. How much of drug development is supported by public funding, via grants to universities, etc., that then go on to become small startups with private investment? If it is significant, does the public get a good deal on its seed investments?

American taxpayers foot the lion’s share of the bill for the basic-science research that generates information about which molecules are promising to pursue. Private companies pay most of the development costs—that is, testing the molecule in clinical trials to see if it’s safe and effective. The public has gotten a great return on investment in the sense that the industry, particularly in the last decade or so, has been turning out a lot of very innovative, useful products. The work that remains to be done is ensuring that those products are financially accessible to everyone who needs them.

One recommendation is that biopharmaceutical companies and insurance plans disclose net prices received and paid, including all discounts and rebates, at a National Drug Code level. Would this cover all international transactions too, so that we could see costs/prices in other countries? 

No, our recommendation relates to the drug supply chain in the U.S., which is highly complex and highly opaque.

Can you talk about this a bit—why this transparency is important?

One of the things that was frustrating about studying drug affordability is that the various players in our system—such as drug manufacturers, health insurance plans, and intermediary organizations called pharmacy benefit managers, or PBMs—all point fingers at one another when you ask them who is responsible for consumers’ high drug costs.  Yet, there’s very little information available by which to assess their claims. Is the problem that drug makers launch their products at excessive list prices? Or that PBMs buy them at a discounted price, which is kept confidential, and don’t pass those savings along to health plans? Or that health plans get drugs at a deep discount but make subscribers pay cost-sharing (for example, the 20% coinsurance you pay at the pharmacy) as though the drug’s cost was the list price?  Nobody will cough up the data necessary to make these judgments.  Our recommendation addresses that problem.

Are there any next steps for you and the authors of this report? Will there be subsequent research by the group—or coordination with policy makers?

We are working hard to make sure policy makers, journalists, and key stakeholders understand our recommendations and the evidence behind them.  This week, for example, our report was presented to a packed room of Senate staffers.  We have also identified some areas where additional research is needed, and hope that research sponsors will respond to that need.  There is a lot of work to be done.

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Sometimes a straightforward explanation and an apology for what went wrong in the hospital goes a long way toward preventing medical malpractice litigation and improving patient safety.

That’s what Michelle Mello, JD, PhD, and her colleagues found in a study published Oct. 2 in Health Affairs.

Mello, a professor of health research and policy and of law at Stanford University, is the lead author of the study. The senior author is Kenneth Sands, former senior vice president at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center.

Medical injuries are a leading cause of death in the United States. The lawsuits they spawn are also a major concern for physicians and health-care facilities. So hospital risk managers and liability insurers are experimenting with new approaches to resolving these disputes that channel them away from litigation.

The focus is on meeting patients’ needs without requiring them to sue. Hospitals disclose accidents to patients, investigate and explain why they occurred, apologize and, in cases in which the harm was due to a medical error, offer compensation and reassurance that steps will be taken to keep it from happening again.

Positive results

The study reports on the outcome of a so-called communication-and-resolution program at two large Massachusetts hospital systems. Mello and her co-authors found that the program not only yielded positive results in terms of liability costs but also led to significant patient safety improvements.

“In these programs, hospitals scrutinize every serious harm event to answer the question, ‘What can we learn?’” Mello said. “Traditionally, a risk manager’s focus has been on the patients who complain about the care or threaten to sue. But every patient deserves to know that what happened to them is being taken seriously.”

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Despite concerns that telling patients about errors and proactively offering compensation could cause liability costs to skyrocket, of the 989 adverse events reviewed for the study from 2013 to 2015, only 5 percent led to malpractice claims or lawsuits. And when the program did lead to compensation, the median payment was $75,000. By comparison, the median payment nationwide in 2015 when plaintiffs prevailed in malpractice lawsuits was about $225,000, Mello noted.

“Our findings suggest that communication-and-resolution programs will not lead to higher liability costs when hospitals adhere to their commitment to offer compensation proactively,” the authors wrote.

Pilot program

The authors focused on a program called CARe — Communication, Apology and Resolution — at six Massachusetts hospitals: Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and Baystate Medical Center, and two of each center’s community hospitals.

The hospitals demonstrated good adherence to the program protocol, the authors found. Physicians were supportive of the approach but did ask for better communication about the program and what was happening with their patients.

The low percentage of events that led to litigation should reassure hospitals concerned about the risks of being honest with patients, the authors wrote. A likely explanation, according to Mello, is that explaining why adverse events occurred defused patients’ anger. About three-quarters of the time, adverse events were not actually due to error, the study said. Rather, malpractice claims frequently arise when plaintiffs perceive that the health care providers communicated poorly or attempted to cover up negligence, the authors noted.

“Given the rarity with which communication-and-resolution events resulted in settlements, it is reasonable to wonder whether the programs are worth the time they require,” the authors wrote, “but risk managers in our study thought they were. By providing explanations and expressions of sympathy for harms not arising from negligence, communication-and-resolution programs may avert lawsuits springing from misunderstanding.”

Objectives and improved safety

The CARe objectives are to improve transparency surrounding events, improve patient safety, reduce lawsuits and support clinicians in disclosing error or injury.

Medical events were bumped to a CARe evaluation if they met a severity threshold of either causing permanent or temporary harm that led to an extended hospitalization, required an invasive procedure or led to at least three outpatient visits.

Of the 989 total events studied by the authors, 60 of them entered the CARe program because the hospital received notice that the patient intended to sue. Another 929 entered the program when an adverse event was reported that allegedly exceeded the severity threshold, or that met other criteria.

The protocol called for compensation to be proactively offered whenever a violation of the standard of care caused serious harm. Only 9 percent of cases met these criteria. The largest payment made was $2 million. In 181 events, in which compensation criteria weren’t met, hospitals offered to waive medical bills or made other modest gestures, like giving the patients meal vouchers and gift cards. About three-quarters of injuries didn’t qualify for compensation because the standard of care was judged to have been met — a proportion that is consistent with prior studies of medical injuries. About a third of the injuries weren’t caused by the medical care: For example, a patient contracted an infection in the hospital but died from other causes.

“These programs are usually talked about as a way to resolve cases of medical error, but what they do more often is encourage communication with patients about non-error events — as well as systematic evaluation of each event for patient-safety lessons,” Mello said.

The authors also noted that communication-and-resolution programs “can help hospitals foster a culture of transparency by supporting clinicians in making disclosures.”

The safety interventions identified in the CARe investigations included new labeling for high-risk medications, color-coded socks for patients at risk for falls, radio frequency identification tags for surgical sponges, improved interpreter services, improvements for managing the selection of implantables after surgery, and a multidisciplinary checklist for breech deliveries.

Other authors of the study are affiliated with Harvard, Tufts, Baystate Medical Center, and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center.

 

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CDDRL Postdoctoral Scholar, 2017-2019
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Dr. Monica Teran has experience in the analysis focus on the domains of disparities in health services and response to population health needs of the health system governance using spatial statistical methodology and Geography of health approach that takes into account spatial variation in socioeconomic factors and accessibility to services. Since September 2017 she is a member of Sistema Nacional de Investigadores, SNI (National System of Researcher) in Mexico, CONACYT.

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Women now have the option of getting screened every three or five years for cervical cancer, depending on which type of test they use, according to new draft recommendations from the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force.

The group of independent medical experts is recommending that women 21 to 29 years old get a cervical cytology (PAP test) every three years, while women aged 30 to 65 should either continue to get screened with a Pap every three years, or opt to be tested for the high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) every five years.

“Cervical cancer is highly curable when found and treated early,” task force member Carol Mangione, MD, MSPH, said in a release on Monday. “Most cases of cervical cancer occur in women who have not been regularly screened or treated. Therefore, making sure all women are adequately screened and treated is critical to reducing deaths from cervical cancer.”

Despite the dramatic reduction of cervical cancer by half since the Pap test was introduced 40 years ago, nearly 13,000 American women are expected to contract this type of cancer this year. Of those, 4,200 are likely to die, according to the American Cancer Society. African-American and Hispanic women are at even greater risk.

The task force is an independent, volunteer panel of national experts in prevention and evidence-based medicine whose recommendations are widely followed by physicians and policymakers. They assign each recommendation a letter grade based on the strength of the evidence — and this recommendation comes with an A.

“We now have two effective screening strategies for women over 30, either cervical cytology every three years or HPV testing every five years,” said Douglas K. Owens, vice-chairperson of the task force.

Owens, a physician, professor of Stanford Medicine and director of the Center for Health Policy and Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research, said that in women ages 21 to 29, a substantial portion of HPV infections resolve on their own. Cervical cytology, or Pap tests, remains the recommended screening strategy in this age group.

The advisory panel recommended against screening in women younger than 21 and older than age 65 years who have been adequately screened and don’t have a history of high-risk lesions.

The task force emphasized that cervical cytology tests remain an effective method of screening for cervical cancer, but that evidence published since its 2012 found that both Pap tests and HPV testing alone are effective ways to screen for cervical cancer in women aged 30 to 65.

“So women should discuss with their health-care provider which testing strategy is best for them,” Owens said. “What’s most important is that women get screened regularly.”

The Food and Drug Administration in 2011 approved the first test for HPV screening, a DNA test that looks for 14 types of the HPV virus, including types 16 and 18, which cause about 70 percent of all cervical cancers. In 2014, the FDA determined that the HPV test could be used alone instead of alongside the Pap test, which looks for changes in cervical cells.

The task force’s draft recommendation and evidence review have been posted for public comment on its website. Public comments can be submitted through October 9.

 

 

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Ph.D.

Natt Hongdilokkul joins the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) during the 2017-2018 academic year as a postdoctoral scholar in Developing Asia Health policy. His research interests concern the effect of universal health care on household outcomes and welfare using micro-level panel data in Thailand. He received a PhD and an MA in Economics from Simon Fraser University, Canada, and another MA and a BA in Economics from Thammasat University, Thailand.

Developing Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, 2017-18
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Health insurance holds the promise of improving population health and survival and protecting people from catastrophic health spending. Yet evidence from lower- and middle-income countries on the impact of health insurance is limited. We investigated whether insurance expansion reduced adult mortality in rural China, taking advantage of differences across Chinese counties in the timing of the introduction of the New Cooperative Medical Scheme (NCMS). We assembled and analyzed newly collected data on NCMS implementation, linked to data from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention on cause-specific, age-standardized death rates and variables specific to county-year combinations for seventy-two counties in the period 2004–12. While mortality rates declined among rural residents during this period, we found little evidence that the expansion of health insurance through the NCMS contributed to this decline. However, our relatively large standard errors leave open the possibility that the NCMS had effects on mortality that we could not detect. Moreover, mortality benefits might arise only after many years of accumulated coverage.

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Journal Articles
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Health Affairs
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Karen Eggleston
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